Football Betting

Dallas Cowboys 2007 Draft Preview

Football Betting Lines

04/04/2007 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The performance of the Dallas secondary was beyond poor during the second half of last season, and the emphasis in drafting corners and/or safeties this year will likely be focused on their ability to cover more than hit. Another pass rusher would also be a welcome addition to the defense. Offensively, Dallas has to be looking at the respective ages of Terrell Owens (33) and Terry Glenn (33 in July) and searching hard for an impact receiver. Elsewhere within the attack, free agent pickup Leonard Davis does not solve the club's offensive line woes in and of himself. Don't be surprised if three o-linemen take their place among the team's 10 selections.

2006 Record: 9-7

First Pick: No. 22

Number of Selections: 10 (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 6, 7, 7, 7)

RECENT FIRST ROUND HISTORY: 2006 - Bobby Carpenter (LB, Ohio State); 2005 - Demarcus Ware (OLB, Troy), Marcus Spears (DL, LSU); 2004 - none; 2003 - Terence Newman (CB, Kansas State); 2002 - Roy Williams (S, Oklahoma); 2001 - none; 2000 - none; 1999 - Ebenezer Ekuban (DE, North Carolina); 1998 - Greg Ellis (DE, North Carolina); 1997 - David LaFleur (TE, LSU); 1996 - none; 1995 - none; 1994 - Shante Carver (DE, Arizona State); 1993 - none; 1992 - Kevin Smith (CB, Texas A&M), Robert Jones (LB, East Carolina); 1991 - Russell Maryland (DT, Miami), Alvin Harper (WR, Tennessee), Kelvin Pritchett (DT, Mississippi); 1990 - Emmitt Smith (RB, Florida).


<< Ducks welcome rival Sharks to Honda Center
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Anaheim Ducks will try for their fourth consecutive victory tonight, when they welcome the rival San Jose Sharks to the Honda Center. The Ducks, Sharks and Dallas Stars have already clinched a playoff berth, but are s

<< St. Louis Rams 2007 Draft Preview
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Rams were extremely active in free agency, signing arguably the top wide receiver on the market (Drew Bennett), a very good tight end (Randy McMichael), serviceable linebacker (Chris Draft), two players with potential to

<< Seattle Seahawks 2007 Draft Preview
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Seahawks surrendered their first-round draft pick to New England when they obtained Deion Branch via trade last September, and expecting the team to add a potential starter at the No. 55 spot is probably a bit of a stretc

<< Pirates target sweep in Houston
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Pirates will attempt to gain some early control in the NL Central when they go for a series sweep of the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. For the second straight game, Pittsburgh beat up on Houston's bul

<< Thrashers continue quest for division title against Caps
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Thrashers will try to move closer to winning their first-ever division title when they welcome the lowly Washington Capitals to Philips Arena tonight. The Thrashers have already clinched the club's first postse

Chicago Bears 2007 Draft Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Bears front seven was pushed around a fair amount in the latter stages of the 2007 season, so Chicago GM Jerry Angelo and head coach Lovie Smith are likely to focus on that area on the first day of the draft. A replacemen

Arizona Cardinals 2007 Draft Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Arizona has long featured one of the weakest lines in the league, and with disappointing-yet-serviceable tackle Leonard Davis now a Cowboy, the Cardinals could be setting their sights on a player like Penn State's Levi Brown

Atlanta Falcons 2007 Draft Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Falcons have multiple needs on defense, and with the No. 8 overall pick (obtained in the Matt Schaub trade) could justify selecting any of the following players - safeties LaRon Landry (LSU) and Reggie Nelson (Florida), t

Green Bay Packers 2007 Draft Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With Ahman Green now a Houston Texan, the Packers have a hole at running back that the franchise has not experienced heading into a season since the pre-Edgar Bennett days. Head coach Mike McCarthy says he's comfortable with

San Francisco 49ers 2007 Draft Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Niners are in major need of a No. 1 receiver after releasing Antonio Bryant, and might have to look long and hard at multi- talented Ohio State standout Ted Ginn, Jr. There are also secondary needs, though the signings of

Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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